CAPA launches data models to project airline capacity in key markets


CAPA – Centre for Aviation, a leading provider of independent aviation market intelligence, has launched a series of interactive data models designed to build and interpret projections of airline capacity in key markets.

The CAPA Airline Capacity Models provide an effective breakdown of each country’s national and international prospects for seating capacity, supported by OAG, as well as each city and pair of routes, based on actual 2019 data.

Combined with government statements, airline network announcements and capacity projections, and current data sets, the Model provides a solid and granular guide to projecting future air projection.

CAPA’s Airline Capacity Forecast Model


CAPA’s Airline Capacity Forecast Model applies assumptions around six key phases; Zero/Grounded, Skeleton, Acutely Restricted, Basic, Restrained and Standard. As mentioned in CAPA’s release.

The agency also stated that Regularly updated and constantly re-evaluated based on numerous inputs, including CAPA’s 3-400 Global Aviation Daily News, the CAPA model helps users interactively track the pace of recovery in their relevant market.

 “The impact of COVID-19 has damaged the efficacy of traditional methods of understanding the future size and scale of our industry. Frustrated by the lack of a model that takes into account border closures and other key assumptions around the pace of recovery of domestic and international passenger markets, we set out to build our own model with the support of OAG’”. Said Derek Sadubin, Managing Director, CAPA.

According to CAPA, Airline Capacity Models are now available for Australia, New Zealand and China.


Models for the UK, France, Germany, the USA, India, Japan, South Korea and other countries are under preparation

You can see live demonstrations of the new model on request by completing your details here or contact [email protected]

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